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Carioca B2 · Group Stage - 11
Paraty
Barra Mansa

Paraty vs Barra Mansa Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
70%
Confidence · Good
ParatyDrawBarra Mansa
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
1-2
8%
HT/FT
1/1
22%
Double chance
1X
70%
Avg goals
3.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Paraty or draw.
  • Recent form: Paraty LLLLL, Barra Mansa LDLLL (oldest to newest).
  • Paraty score 0.7 a game this season; Barra Mansa score 0.7.

Match preview

Paraty host Barra Mansa in the Carioca B2 (Group Stage - 11) on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

Barra Mansa have LLL (newest first; 0 wins in their last 3).

This season Paraty score 0.7 and concede 3.4 goals a game; Barra Mansa score 0.7 and concede 1.5.

In their last 1 meetings, Paraty won 1, Barra Mansa won 0 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 70% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Paraty vs Barra Mansa?

Our model gives Paraty 35%, the draw 35% and Barra Mansa 30%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (70% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 61% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Paraty 1 - 2 Barra Mansa. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 70% confidence.

When is Paraty vs Barra Mansa?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 18:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
ParatyBarra Mansa
Goals scored
0.70.7
Goals conceded
3.41.5
Clean sheets
0%30%

Model comparison

Percent
ParatyBarra Mansa
Form
0%100%
Attack
83%17%
Defence
26%74%
Poisson model
12%88%
Head to head
100%0%
Goals
67%33%
Overall
47%53%
Form, last 5 games
0%7%
Goals scored, last 5
5.01.0
Goals conceded, last 5
20.07.0
Goal forecast: Paraty Under 1.5, Barra Mansa Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw