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Mineiro - 3 · Final Group - 1
Paracatu
Nacional AC MG

Paracatu vs Nacional AC MG Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
ParacatuDrawNacional AC MG
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No
54%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Paracatu or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Paracatu WWWLW, Nacional AC MG WWWLD (oldest to newest).
  • Paracatu score 2.4 a game this season; Nacional AC MG score 1.4.

Match preview

Paracatu host Nacional AC MG in the Mineiro - 3 (Final Group - 1) on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

This season Paracatu score 2.4 and concede 0.4 goals a game; Nacional AC MG score 1.4 and concede 0.6.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Paracatu vs Nacional AC MG?

Our model gives Paracatu 45%, the draw 45% and Nacional AC MG 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Paracatu 2 - 1 Nacional AC MG. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Paracatu vs Nacional AC MG?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 18:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
ParacatuNacional AC MG
Goals scored
2.41.4
Goals conceded
0.40.6
Clean sheets
60%40%

Model comparison

Percent
ParacatuNacional AC MG
Form
55%45%
Attack
63%37%
Defence
60%40%
Poisson model
100%0%
Overall
59%41%
Form, last 5 games
80%67%
Goals scored, last 5
12.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
2.03.0
Goal forecast: Paracatu Under 2.5, Nacional AC MG Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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