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Super League · Regular Season - 25
Pakhtakor
1 - 3Full time
Neftchi
Pakhtakor Central Stadium · Referee: F. Norsafarov

Pakhtakor vs Neftchi Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.30
79%
Confidence · Good
PakhtakorDrawNeftchi
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
1-1
9%
HT/FT
1/1
25%
Double chance
1X
79%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Pakhtakor or draw.
  • Recent form: Pakhtakor WWWWD, Neftchi LWWDW (oldest to newest).
  • Pakhtakor score 1.8 a game this season; Neftchi score 2.3.

Match preview

Pakhtakor host Neftchi in the Super League (Regular Season - 25) on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.

Neftchi have LWL (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

This season Pakhtakor score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals a game; Neftchi score 1.0 and concede 1.5.

In their last 5 meetings, Pakhtakor won 3, Neftchi won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 79% confidence, priced at 1.30.

Quick answers

Who will win Pakhtakor vs Neftchi?

Our model gives Pakhtakor 44%, the draw 35% and Neftchi 21%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (79% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 58% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Pakhtakor 1 - 1 Neftchi. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 79% confidence at odds of 1.30.

When is Pakhtakor vs Neftchi?

Kick-off is Friday, 23 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Pakhtakor Central Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. D. KhamdamovPenalty23'
  2. 31'Z. Marusic ⇄ S. Perica
  3. S. Nasrullaev44'
  4. 46'N. Abduganiyev ⇄ A. Ismoilov
  5. 46'M. Ubaydullaev ⇄ A. Odilov
  6. 56'S. PericaAssist: A. Odilov
  7. 66'K. KouaoAssist: I. Alibaev
  8. 70'K. Kouao ⇄ I. Yuldoshev
  9. 70'V. Jovovic ⇄ Ratinho
  10. Z. Tahseen75'
  11. D. Khamdamov ⇄ K. Alizhonov76'
  12. B. Resan ⇄ O. Bozorov76'
  13. Z. Tahseen ⇄ D. Abdullaev78'
  14. 80'I. Alibaev
  15. D. Saitov ⇄ A. Hussein83'
  16. D. Abdullaev88'
  17. 89'J. IskanderovPenalty