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UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2
Pafos
1 - 1Full time
Riga
Stelios Kyriakidis · Referee: Marian Barbu

Pafos vs Riga Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds2.25
66%
Confidence · Good
PafosDrawRiga
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
54%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
33%
Double chance
X2
66%
Avg goals
3.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Riga.
  • Recent form: Pafos DWL, Riga WDDWD (oldest to newest).
  • Pafos score 2.0 a game this season; Riga score 1.9.

Match preview

Pafos host Riga in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 2) on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Stelios Kyriakidis.

This season Pafos score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals a game; Riga score 2.7 and concede 0.9.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 66% confidence, priced at 2.25.

Quick answers

Who will win Pafos vs Riga?

Our model gives Pafos 34%, the draw 34% and Riga 32%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (66% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Pafos 1 - 1 Riga. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 66% confidence at odds of 2.25.

When is Pafos vs Riga?

Kick-off is Thursday, 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Stelios Kyriakidis. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 7'Reginaldo RamiresGoal cancelled
  2. João CorreiaGoal cancelled13'
  3. A. Brito ⇄ I. Sunjic46'
  4. Ivan Šunjić49'
  5. J. Correia ⇄ D. Quina61'
  6. Anderson Silva ⇄ Lele65'
  7. 66'Reginaldo Ramires ⇄ M. Badamosi
  8. 66'M. Diop ⇄ Caio Ferreira
  9. 67'Caio FerreiraAssist: S. Oulad M'Hand
  10. Guga ⇄ K. Sema71'
  11. BielAssist: K. Sema76'
  12. 78'R. Aouani ⇄ A. Cernomordijs
  13. Ken Sema87'
  14. 88'S. Oulad M'Hand ⇄ C. Saco
  15. 90'Maksims Tonisevs

Match stats

PafosRiga
Possession
51%49%
Expected goals (xG)
1.461.64
Shots
1716
Shots on target
43
Corners
104
Fouls
916
Offsides
01
Yellow cards
21
Saves
23
Passes
402389
Pass accuracy
82%86%