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National League - North · National League North - 14
Oxford City
Merthyr Town
RAW Charging Stadium

Oxford City vs Merthyr Town Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Oxford CityDrawMerthyr Town
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No
54%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Oxford City or draw.
  • Recent form: Oxford City WLWDW, Merthyr Town WDLDD (oldest to newest).
  • Oxford City score 1.9 a game this season; Merthyr Town score 1.2.

Match preview

Oxford City host Merthyr Town in the National League - North (National League North - 14) on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at RAW Charging Stadium.

This season Oxford City score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals a game; Merthyr Town score 1.2 and concede 1.1.

In their last 2 meetings, Oxford City won 0, Merthyr Town won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Oxford City vs Merthyr Town?

Our model gives Oxford City 45%, the draw 45% and Merthyr Town 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Oxford City 2 - 1 Merthyr Town. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Oxford City vs Merthyr Town?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 19:45 UTC at RAW Charging Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Oxford CityMerthyr Town
Goals scored
1.91.2
Goals conceded
0.61.1
Clean sheets
55%25%

Model comparison

Percent
Oxford CityMerthyr Town
Form
63%38%
Attack
73%27%
Defence
67%33%
Poisson model
61%39%
Head to head
20%80%
Goals
33%67%
Overall
53%47%
Form, last 5 games
67%40%
Goals scored, last 5
11.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
2.04.0
Goal forecast: Oxford City Under 2.5, Merthyr Town Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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