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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · Group B - 7
Ovarense
Alpendorada

Ovarense vs Alpendorada Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
95%
Confidence · High
OvarenseDrawAlpendorada
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No
61%
Correct score
2-1
0%
HT/FT
1/1
31%
Double chance
1X
95%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Ovarense or draw.
  • Recent form: Ovarense WWWDW, Alpendorada LLLDD (oldest to newest).
  • Ovarense score 2.0 a game this season; Alpendorada score 1.0.

Match preview

Ovarense host Alpendorada in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B (Group B - 7) on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

This season Ovarense score 2.0 and concede 0.3 goals a game; Alpendorada score 1.0 and concede 1.5.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 95% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Ovarense vs Alpendorada?

Our model gives Ovarense 50%, the draw 50% and Alpendorada 0%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (95% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 61% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Ovarense 2 - 1 Alpendorada. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 95% confidence.

When is Ovarense vs Alpendorada?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
OvarenseAlpendorada
Goals scored
2.01.0
Goals conceded
0.31.5
Clean sheets
83%33%

Model comparison

Percent
OvarenseAlpendorada
Form
87%13%
Attack
67%33%
Defence
82%18%
Poisson model
78%22%
Overall
79%22%
Form, last 5 games
87%13%
Goals scored, last 5
10.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
2.09.0
Goal forecast: Ovarense Under 2.5, Alpendorada Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw