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Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 8
Numancia
2 - 3Full time
Navalcarnero

Numancia vs Navalcarnero Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.14
85%
Confidence · High
NumanciaDrawNavalcarnero
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS
No
64%
Correct score
1-0
14%
HT/FT
1/1
30%
Double chance
1X
85%
Avg goals
1.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Numancia or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Numancia DWDDD, Navalcarnero DLWDD (oldest to newest).
  • Numancia score 0.9 a game this season; Navalcarnero score 1.4.

Match preview

Numancia host Navalcarnero in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 (Group 5 - 8) on Saturday, 24 October 2026.

This season Numancia score 0.9 and concede 0.1 goals a game; Navalcarnero score 1.4 and concede 1.4.

In their last 2 meetings, Numancia won 1, Navalcarnero won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 85% confidence, priced at 1.14.

Quick answers

Who will win Numancia vs Navalcarnero?

Our model gives Numancia 49%, the draw 35% and Navalcarnero 15%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (85% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 64% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Numancia 1 - 0 Navalcarnero. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 85% confidence at odds of 1.14.

When is Numancia vs Navalcarnero?

Kick-off is Saturday, 24 October 2026, 15:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
NumanciaNavalcarnero
Goals scored
0.91.4
Goals conceded
0.11.4
Clean sheets
86%0%

Model comparison

Percent
NumanciaNavalcarnero
Form
54%46%
Attack
20%80%
Defence
89%11%
Poisson model
100%0%
Head to head
80%20%
Goals
75%25%
Overall
64%36%
Form, last 5 games
47%40%
Goals scored, last 5
2.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
1.08.0
Goal forecast: Numancia Under 1.5, Navalcarnero Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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