Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction, Odds & Tips
Our Prediction
- Model advice: Double chance : Newcastle or draw.
- Recent form: Newcastle WDLWL, Aston Villa LDLWD (oldest to newest).
- Newcastle score 1.7 a game this season; Aston Villa score 1.0.
Match preview
Newcastle host Aston Villa in the Premier League (Regular Season - 7) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at St James' Park.
This season Newcastle score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals a game; Aston Villa score 3.0 and concede 1.0.
In their last 5 meetings, Newcastle won 2, Aston Villa won 2 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 68% confidence, priced at 1.36.
Quick answers
Who will win Newcastle vs Aston Villa?
Our model gives Newcastle 37%, the draw 31% and Aston Villa 32%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (68% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 63% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 60% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Newcastle 1 - 1 Aston Villa. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 68% confidence at odds of 1.36.
When is Newcastle vs Aston Villa?
Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 16:30 UTC at St James' Park. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 18'
- 18'
- 25'
- 28'
- 36'Assist: João Gomes
- 45'
- 53'
- 55'
- 56'
- 56'
- 72'
- 72'
- 72'
- 77'
- 78'
- 86'
- 90'
