Skip to content
Register
Premier League · Regular Season - 28
Neftchi
Ilbirs

Neftchi vs Ilbirs Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds–
45%
Confidence · Fair
NeftchiDrawIlbirs
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
58%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Neftchi.
  • Recent form: Neftchi WLDWW, Ilbirs WLLLD (oldest to newest).
  • Neftchi score 1.4 a game this season; Ilbirs score 1.1.

Match preview

Neftchi host Ilbirs in the Premier League (Regular Season - 28) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.

This season Neftchi score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals a game; Ilbirs score 1.1 and concede 1.7.

In their last 5 meetings, Neftchi won 2, Ilbirs won 2 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 45% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Neftchi vs Ilbirs?

Our model gives Neftchi 45%, the draw 45% and Ilbirs 10%. Our tip is Home Win (45% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Neftchi 2 - 1 Ilbirs. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Neftchi vs Ilbirs?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
NeftchiIlbirs
Goals scored
1.41.1
Goals conceded
1.61.7
Clean sheets
22%26%

Model comparison

Percent
NeftchiIlbirs
Form
71%29%
Attack
83%17%
Defence
65%35%
Poisson model
72%28%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
54%46%
Overall
66%34%
Form, last 5 games
67%27%
Goals scored, last 5
10.02.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.011.0
Goal forecast: Neftchi Under 3.5, Ilbirs Under 1.5

More from Premier League

All ›
Kyrgyzstan: Premier LeagueAlgavsOzgonX2–90%Kyrgyzstan: Premier LeagueAsia TalasvsOshMU AldierHome–45%Kyrgyzstan: Premier LeagueBishkek CityvsDordoi Bishkek1X–90%Kyrgyzstan: Premier LeagueBarsvsToktogulHome–50%