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Mineiro - 3 · Final Group - 2
Nacional AC MG
Venda Nova

Nacional AC MG vs Venda Nova Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Nacional AC MGDrawVenda Nova
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS
No
59%
Correct score
1-2
7%
HT/FT
2/2
28%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
2.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Venda Nova and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Nacional AC MG WWLDD, Venda Nova WDWDW (oldest to newest).
  • Nacional AC MG score 1.2 a game this season; Venda Nova score 2.5.

Match preview

Nacional AC MG host Venda Nova in the Mineiro - 3 (Final Group - 2) on Friday, 30 October 2026.

This season Nacional AC MG score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals a game; Venda Nova score 2.5 and concede 0.3.

In their last 1 meetings, Nacional AC MG won 0, Venda Nova won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Nacional AC MG vs Venda Nova?

Our model gives Nacional AC MG 10%, the draw 45% and Venda Nova 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 61% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Nacional AC MG 1 - 2 Venda Nova. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence.

When is Nacional AC MG vs Venda Nova?

Kick-off is Friday, 30 October 2026, 22:30 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Nacional AC MGVenda Nova
Goals scored
1.22.5
Goals conceded
0.50.3
Clean sheets
50%67%

Model comparison

Percent
Nacional AC MGVenda Nova
Form
42%58%
Attack
24%76%
Defence
25%75%
Poisson model
22%78%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
50%50%
Overall
36%65%
Form, last 5 games
53%73%
Goals scored, last 5
4.013.0
Goals conceded, last 5
3.01.0
Goal forecast: Nacional AC MG Under 1.5, Venda Nova Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw