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Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11
MVV
1 - 5Full time
Heracles
De Geusselt

MVV vs Heracles Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Away Win
Odds1.42
58%
Confidence · Fair
MVVDrawHeracles
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
Yes
61%
Correct score
1-2
8%
HT/FT
2/2
39%
Double chance
X2
93%
Avg goals
3.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Heracles.
  • Recent form: MVV LLWLL, Heracles WLWDW (oldest to newest).
  • MVV score 1.3 a game this season; Heracles score 3.1.

Match preview

MVV host Heracles in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 11) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at De Geusselt.

In their last 2 meetings, MVV won 0, Heracles won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Away Win with 58% confidence, priced at 1.42.

Quick answers

Who will win MVV vs Heracles?

Our model gives MVV 7%, the draw 35% and Heracles 58%. Our tip is Away Win (58% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 61% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 67% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is MVV 1 - 2 Heracles. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 93% confidence at odds of 1.11.

When is MVV vs Heracles?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:45 UTC at De Geusselt. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Sil van der WegenAssist: Yael Liesdek33'
  2. 41'Maurice Wrusch
  3. 43'Chafik AbbasAssist: Jean-Paul N'djoli
  4. 51'Manny Rodriguez BalderaAssist: Chafik Abbas
  5. 52'Thomas Bruns ⇄ Max Hauswirth
  6. 52'David Tomic ⇄ Tristan Van Gilst
  7. 62'Jean-Paul N'djoliAssist: Chafik Abbas
  8. Robert Klaasen ⇄ Thijme Verheijen69'
  9. 77'Manny Rodriguez Baldera ⇄ Mario Engels
  10. 77'Mimeirhel Benita ⇄ Mike te Wierik
  11. Yael Liesdek ⇄ Delano Asante77'
  12. Naim Matoug ⇄ Onesime Zimuangana77'
  13. 82'Jean-Paul N'djoliAssist: Mario Engels
  14. 83'Djevencio van der Kust ⇄ Daniel Van Kaam
  15. Lennerd Daneels89'

Match stats

MVVHeracles
Possession
46%54%
Expected goals (xG)
0.582.88
Shots
723
Shots on target
312
Corners
39
Fouls
912
Offsides
24
Yellow cards
10
Red cards
00
Saves
52
Passes
360416