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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · Group A - 7
Montalegre
Maria da Fonte

Montalegre vs Maria da Fonte Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
MontalegreDrawMaria da Fonte
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS
No
61%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Montalegre or draw.
  • Recent form: Montalegre WDDWL, Maria da Fonte LLLDL (oldest to newest).
  • Montalegre score 1.2 a game this season; Maria da Fonte score 0.7.

Match preview

Montalegre host Maria da Fonte in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (Group A - 7) on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

This season Montalegre score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals a game; Maria da Fonte score 0.7 and concede 1.7.

In their last 4 meetings, Montalegre won 1, Maria da Fonte won 1 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Montalegre vs Maria da Fonte?

Our model gives Montalegre 45%, the draw 45% and Maria da Fonte 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 61% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 64% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Montalegre 1 - 1 Maria da Fonte. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Montalegre vs Maria da Fonte?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
MontalegreMaria da Fonte
Goals scored
1.20.7
Goals conceded
0.71.7
Clean sheets
50%17%

Model comparison

Percent
MontalegreMaria da Fonte
Form
89%11%
Attack
70%30%
Defence
71%29%
Poisson model
58%42%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
38%62%
Overall
63%37%
Form, last 5 games
53%7%
Goals scored, last 5
7.03.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.010.0
Goal forecast: Montalegre Under 2.5, Maria da Fonte Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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