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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 12
Molde
Fredrikstad
Aker Stadion · Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Molde vs Fredrikstad Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.10
88%
Confidence · High
MoldeDrawFredrikstad
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
2-0
8%
HT/FT
1/1
41%
Double chance
1X
88%
Avg goals
3.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Molde or draw.
  • Recent form: Molde WWLDW, Fredrikstad LDDDL (oldest to newest).
  • Molde score 2.3 a game this season; Fredrikstad score 1.2.

Match preview

Molde host Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 12) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Aker Stadion.

This season Molde score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Fredrikstad score 1.2 and concede 1.6.

In their last 5 meetings, Molde won 1, Fredrikstad won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 88% confidence, priced at 1.10.

Quick answers

Who will win Molde vs Fredrikstad?

Our model gives Molde 56%, the draw 32% and Fredrikstad 12%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (88% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 67% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Molde 2 - 0 Fredrikstad. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.10.

When is Molde vs Fredrikstad?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 18:15 UTC at Aker Stadion. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
MoldeFredrikstad
Goals scored
2.31.2
Goals conceded
1.51.6
Clean sheets
17%13%

Model comparison

Percent
MoldeFredrikstad
Form
77%23%
Attack
73%27%
Defence
57%43%
Poisson model
73%27%
Head to head
38%62%
Goals
56%44%
Overall
62%38%
Form, last 5 games
67%20%
Goals scored, last 5
16.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.08.0
Goal forecast: Molde Under 3.5, Fredrikstad Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw