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Serie D - Girone I · Group I - 10
Modica
Gela

Modica vs Gela Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
70%
Confidence · Good
ModicaDrawGela
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS
No
58%
Correct score
1-1
13%
HT/FT
1/1
22%
Double chance
1X
70%
Avg goals
2.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Modica or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Modica WLWLL, Gela LDDDW (oldest to newest).
  • Modica score 0.9 a game this season; Gela score 1.1.

Match preview

Modica host Gela in the Serie D - Girone I (Group I - 10) on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

This season Modica score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals a game; Gela score 1.1 and concede 0.9.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 70% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Modica vs Gela?

Our model gives Modica 35%, the draw 35% and Gela 30%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (70% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 58% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 64% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Modica 1 - 1 Gela. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 70% confidence.

When is Modica vs Gela?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 13:30 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
ModicaGela
Goals scored
0.91.1
Goals conceded
1.40.9
Clean sheets
25%33%

Model comparison

Percent
ModicaGela
Form
50%50%
Attack
45%55%
Defence
30%70%
Poisson model
82%18%
Overall
52%48%
Form, last 5 games
40%40%
Goals scored, last 5
5.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.03.0
Goal forecast: Modica Under 2.5, Gela Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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