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Championship · Regular Season - 11
Middlesbrough
2 - 2Full time
Cardiff
Riverside Stadium · Referee: Tom Nield

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.14
86%
Confidence · High
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
Yes
63%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
38%
Double chance
1X
86%
Avg goals
3.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Middlesbrough or draw.
  • Recent form: Middlesbrough WDDWW, Cardiff DLWLW (oldest to newest).
  • Middlesbrough score 2.0 a game this season; Cardiff score 1.6.

Match preview

Middlesbrough host Cardiff in the Championship (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Riverside Stadium.

This season Middlesbrough score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Cardiff score 1.6 and concede 1.5.

In their last 5 meetings, Middlesbrough won 4, Cardiff won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 86% confidence, priced at 1.14.

Quick answers

Who will win Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?

Our model gives Middlesbrough 53%, the draw 33% and Cardiff 14%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (86% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 63% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 68% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Cardiff. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 86% confidence at odds of 1.14.

When is Middlesbrough vs Cardiff?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 11:30 UTC at Riverside Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 19'Brian Barry-Murphy
  2. 22'Jack MoylanAssist: Ollie·Tanner
  3. 25'Joel Bagan
  4. Kyle Joseph ⇄ will lankshear45'
  5. Luke Ayling ⇄ Sebastian Berhalter45'
  6. 45'Joel Colwill ⇄ David Turnbull
  7. 45+1'Ollie·TannerAssist: Jack Moylan
  8. Tommy ConwayAssist: Callum Brittain58'
  9. will lankshearAssist: Amario Cozier-Duberry61'
  10. 63'Christopher Willock ⇄ William Fish
  11. 73'Ronan Kpakio ⇄ Calum Scanlon
  12. Amario Cozier-Duberry ⇄ Max Arfsten74'
  13. Riley McGree ⇄ Myles Peart-Harris79'
  14. 79'Ollie·Tanner ⇄ Isaak Davies
  15. 83'Gabriel Osho
  16. 88'Jack Moylan
  17. Neto Borges ⇄ Jeremy Sarmiento89'

Match stats

MiddlesbroughCardiff
Possession
57%43%
Expected goals (xG)
2.780.91
Shots
367
Shots on target
123
Corners
114
Fouls
910
Offsides
34
Yellow cards
02
Red cards
01
Saves
18
Passes
489378