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Challenge League · Regular Season - 5
Mgarr United
Zurrieq

Mgarr United vs Zurrieq Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.18
83%
Confidence · High
Mgarr UnitedDrawZurrieq
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
No
55%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
30%
Double chance
1X
83%
Avg goals
2.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Mgarr United or draw.
  • Recent form: Mgarr United LWWW, Zurrieq LLDW (oldest to newest).
  • Mgarr United score 1.8 a game this season; Zurrieq score 0.8.

Match preview

Mgarr United host Zurrieq in the Challenge League (Regular Season - 5) on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

This season Mgarr United score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Zurrieq score 0.8 and concede 1.0.

In their last 4 meetings, Mgarr United won 0, Zurrieq won 2 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 83% confidence, priced at 1.18.

Quick answers

Who will win Mgarr United vs Zurrieq?

Our model gives Mgarr United 48%, the draw 35% and Zurrieq 17%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (83% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Mgarr United 1 - 1 Zurrieq. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 83% confidence at odds of 1.18.

When is Mgarr United vs Zurrieq?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 18:30 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Mgarr UnitedZurrieq
Goals scored
1.80.8
Goals conceded
1.01.0
Clean sheets
50%25%

Model comparison

Percent
Mgarr UnitedZurrieq
Form
69%31%
Attack
70%30%
Defence
50%50%
Poisson model
68%32%
Head to head
20%80%
Goals
33%67%
Overall
52%48%
Form, last 5 games
75%33%
Goals scored, last 5
7.03.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.04.0
Goal forecast: Mgarr United Under 2.5, Zurrieq Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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