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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Group 1 - 9
Mérida AD
CD Coria
Estadio Romano Jose Fouto · Referee: I. de Santisteban Adame

Mérida AD vs CD Coria Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.17
84%
Confidence · High
Mérida ADDrawCD Coria
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
54%
Correct score
1-1
10%
HT/FT
1/1
32%
Double chance
1X
84%
Avg goals
3.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Mérida AD or draw and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Mérida AD LLWWW, CD Coria DDLLW (oldest to newest).
  • Mérida AD score 1.9 a game this season; CD Coria score 1.5.

Match preview

Mérida AD host CD Coria in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (Group 1 - 9) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto.

This season Mérida AD score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals a game; CD Coria score 1.5 and concede 2.0.

In their last 3 meetings, Mérida AD won 0, CD Coria won 1 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 84% confidence, priced at 1.17.

Quick answers

Who will win Mérida AD vs CD Coria?

Our model gives Mérida AD 50%, the draw 35% and CD Coria 16%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (84% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Mérida AD 1 - 1 CD Coria. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 84% confidence at odds of 1.17.

When is Mérida AD vs CD Coria?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 17:45 UTC at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Mérida ADCD Coria
Goals scored
1.91.5
Goals conceded
1.52.0
Clean sheets
38%0%

Model comparison

Percent
Mérida ADCD Coria
Form
64%36%
Attack
61%39%
Defence
59%41%
Poisson model
69%31%
Head to head
29%71%
Goals
33%67%
Overall
53%48%
Form, last 5 games
60%33%
Goals scored, last 5
11.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.010.0
Goal forecast: Mérida AD Under 3.5, CD Coria Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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