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Primera Division · Apertura - 12
Matagalpa
1 - 5Full time
Walter Ferretti

Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.50
65%
Confidence · Good
MatagalpaDrawWalter Ferretti
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS
Yes
57%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
2/2
22%
Double chance
1X
65%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Matagalpa or draw.
  • Recent form: Matagalpa WLWLL, Walter Ferretti LDLDW (oldest to newest).
  • Matagalpa score 0.5 a game this season; Walter Ferretti score 1.6.

Match preview

Matagalpa host Walter Ferretti in the Primera Division (Apertura - 12) on Thursday, 15 October 2026.

This season Matagalpa score 0.6 and concede 2.4 goals a game; Walter Ferretti score 2.0 and concede 1.7.

In their last 5 meetings, Matagalpa won 3, Walter Ferretti won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 65% confidence, priced at 1.50.

Quick answers

Who will win Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?

Our model gives Matagalpa 35%, the draw 31% and Walter Ferretti 35%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (65% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 57% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 51% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Matagalpa 1 - 1 Walter Ferretti. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 65% confidence at odds of 1.50.

When is Matagalpa vs Walter Ferretti?

Kick-off is Thursday, 15 October 2026, 01:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
MatagalpaWalter Ferretti
Goals scored
0.62.0
Goals conceded
2.41.7
Clean sheets
25%0%

Model comparison

Percent
MatagalpaWalter Ferretti
Form
55%45%
Attack
25%75%
Defence
53%47%
Poisson model
24%76%
Head to head
71%29%
Goals
63%37%
Overall
49%52%
Form, last 5 games
40%33%
Goals scored, last 5
3.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
8.09.0
Goal forecast: Matagalpa Under 1.5, Walter Ferretti Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw