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Primera Division · Apertura - 15
Matagalpa
Jalapa

Matagalpa vs Jalapa Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
MatagalpaDrawJalapa
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
52%
Correct score
1-2
8%
HT/FT
2/2
28%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Jalapa.
  • Recent form: Matagalpa LLLLD, Jalapa DLDWW (oldest to newest).
  • Matagalpa score 0.5 a game this season; Jalapa score 0.9.

Match preview

Matagalpa host Jalapa in the Primera Division (Apertura - 15) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026.

Matagalpa come into the game with a form of DLL (newest first; 0 wins in their last 3), while Jalapa have WWD (newest first; 2 wins in their last 3).

This season Matagalpa score 0.5 and concede 2.2 goals a game; Jalapa score 0.9 and concede 1.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Matagalpa won 2, Jalapa won 2 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Matagalpa vs Jalapa?

Our model gives Matagalpa 10%, the draw 45% and Jalapa 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 54% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Matagalpa 1 - 2 Jalapa. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence.

When is Matagalpa vs Jalapa?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 23:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
MatagalpaJalapa
Goals scored
0.50.9
Goals conceded
2.21.4
Clean sheets
31%14%

Model comparison

Percent
MatagalpaJalapa
Form
11%89%
Attack
25%75%
Defence
24%76%
Poisson model
27%73%
Head to head
50%50%
Goals
50%50%
Overall
31%69%
Form, last 5 games
7%53%
Goals scored, last 5
3.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
16.05.0
Goal forecast: Matagalpa Under 1.5, Jalapa Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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