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Liga Nacional · Regular Season - 17
Marquense
Guastatoya
Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada

Marquense vs Guastatoya Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
MarquenseDrawGuastatoya
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
52%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
2/2
28%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Guastatoya.
  • Recent form: Marquense WDDWL, Guastatoya WLDDL (oldest to newest).
  • Marquense score 1.1 a game this season; Guastatoya score 1.4.

Match preview

Marquense host Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional (Regular Season - 17) on Friday, 30 October 2026 at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.

Marquense come into the game with a form of LWD (newest first; 1 win in their last 3), while Guastatoya have LDD (newest first; 0 wins in their last 3).

This season Marquense score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Guastatoya score 1.4 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Marquense won 1, Guastatoya won 3 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Marquense vs Guastatoya?

Our model gives Marquense 10%, the draw 45% and Guastatoya 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Marquense 1 - 1 Guastatoya. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence.

When is Marquense vs Guastatoya?

Kick-off is Friday, 30 October 2026, 02:10 UTC at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
MarquenseGuastatoya
Goals scored
1.11.4
Goals conceded
1.31.3
Clean sheets
19%25%

Model comparison

Percent
MarquenseGuastatoya
Form
62%38%
Attack
58%42%
Defence
53%47%
Poisson model
41%59%
Head to head
29%71%
Goals
22%78%
Overall
44%56%
Form, last 5 games
53%33%
Goals scored, last 5
7.05.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.08.0
Goal forecast: Marquense Under 2.5, Guastatoya Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw