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Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Group 9 - 8
Marbelli
0 - 0Full time
Atlético Porcuna

Marbelli vs Atlético Porcuna Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
MarbelliDrawAtlético Porcuna
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Marbelli or draw.
  • Recent form: Marbelli WWWLL, Atlético Porcuna WLLDW (oldest to newest).
  • Marbelli score 1.1 a game this season; Atlético Porcuna score 1.3.

Match preview

Marbelli host Atlético Porcuna in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (Group 9 - 8) on Sunday, 25 October 2026.

This season Marbelli score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Atlético Porcuna score 1.3 and concede 2.1.

In their last 4 meetings, Marbelli won 2, Atlético Porcuna won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Marbelli vs Atlético Porcuna?

Our model gives Marbelli 45%, the draw 45% and Atlético Porcuna 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 52% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Marbelli 2 - 1 Atlético Porcuna. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Marbelli vs Atlético Porcuna?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 16:30 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
MarbelliAtlético Porcuna
Goals scored
1.11.3
Goals conceded
1.02.1
Clean sheets
29%29%

Model comparison

Percent
MarbelliAtlético Porcuna
Form
56%44%
Attack
42%58%
Defence
64%36%
Poisson model
78%22%
Head to head
64%36%
Goals
67%33%
Overall
62%38%
Form, last 5 games
60%47%
Goals scored, last 5
5.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
5.09.0
Goal forecast: Marbelli Under 2.5, Atlético Porcuna Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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