Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.33
Manchester CityDrawParis Saint Germain
47%34%19%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Combo Double chance : Manchester City or draw and +1.5 goals.
- Recent form: Manchester City W, Paris Saint Germain W (oldest to newest).
- Manchester City score 2.0 a game this season; Paris Saint Germain score 6.0.
Match preview
Manchester City host Paris Saint Germain in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 2) on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at Etihad Stadium.
This season Manchester City score 5.0 and concede 0.0 goals a game; Paris Saint Germain score 2.0 and concede 1.3.
In their last 5 meetings, Manchester City won 3, Paris Saint Germain won 2 and 0 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 81% confidence, priced at 1.33.
Quick answers
Who will win Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our model gives Manchester City 47%, the draw 34% and Paris Saint Germain 19%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (81% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 69% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 70% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Manchester City 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 81% confidence at odds of 1.33.
When is Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain?
Kick-off is Wednesday, 14 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Etihad Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 13'Désiré DoueAssist: Fabián Ruiz●
- 15'Ousmane DembéléAssist: Désiré Doue●
- 32'VitinhaAssist: Warren Zaire-Emery●
- ⇄Rayan Cherki ⇄ Ayyoub Bouaddi45'
- ⇄Rúben Dias ⇄ Matheus Nunes45'
- ⇄Jeremy Doku ⇄ Iliman Ndiaye45'
- ●Erling HaalandAssist: Iliman Ndiaye53'
- Antoine Semenyo61'
- 62'Maghnes AklioucheAssist: Ousmane Dembélé●
- 66'Désiré Doue ⇄ Khvicha Kvaratskhelia⇄
- 69'Warren Zaire-Emery
- ●Erling HaalandAssist: Ayyoub Bouaddi75'
- 76'Ousmane Dembélé ⇄ Ferrán Torres⇄
- 76'Maghnes Akliouche ⇄ João Neves⇄
- 84'Warren Zaire-Emery ⇄ Lucas Beraldo⇄
- 84'Fabián Ruiz ⇄ Lucas Hernández⇄
- 90'Ferrán Torres✕
- ⇄Enzo Fernández ⇄ Nico O'Reilly90'
Match stats
Manchester CityParis Saint Germain
Expected goals (xG)
2.611.85
Key stats
Per game, this seasonManchester CityParis Saint Germain
Model comparison
PercentManchester CityParis Saint Germain
Form, last 5 games
100%100%
Goals scored, last 5
2.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
0.01.0
Goal forecast: Manchester City Under 2.5, Paris Saint Germain Under 6.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Manchester City · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Paris Saint Germain · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Head to head
Last 7Jan 2025Paris Saint Germain4-2Manchester City
Nov 2021Manchester City2-1Paris Saint Germain
Sept 2021Paris Saint Germain2-0Manchester City
May 2021Manchester City2-0Paris Saint Germain
Apr 2021Paris Saint Germain1-2Manchester City
Apr 2016Manchester City1-0Paris Saint Germain
Apr 2016Paris Saint Germain2-2Manchester City
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X13.00
1/223.00
X/28.00
X/X7.00
1/13.10
X/16.00
2/119.00
2/X13.00
2/25.00
Correct score
1-18.50
2-19.50
2-210.00
3-113.00
1-213.00
1-015.00
2-015.00
3-217.00
3-021.00
0-121.00
0-021.00
1-321.00
2-321.00
0-221.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
UEFA Champions League table
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedManchester City 4-2-3-1
1G. Donnarumma
45A. Khusanov
3Rúben Dias
6M. Guéhi
24J. Gvardiol
5E. Anderson
17E. Fernández
42A. Semenyo
10R. Cherki
11J. Doku
9E. Haaland
Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3
39M. Safonov
2A. Hakimi
5Marquinhos
51W. Pacho
25Nuno Mendes
33W. Zaïre-Emery
17Vitinha
8Fabián Ruiz
11M. Akliouche
10O. Dembélé
14D. Doué
Injuries and suspensions
Paris Saint Germain: A. Longoni, Injury, out
Paris Saint Germain: S. Mayulu, Groin Injury, out
