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Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Group 14 - 5
Llerenense
Santa Amalia

Llerenense vs Santa Amalia Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
LlerenenseDrawSanta Amalia
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
BTTS
No
65%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
1.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Llerenense or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Llerenense WWDWW, Santa Amalia DWDDL (oldest to newest).
  • Llerenense score 1.2 a game this season; Santa Amalia score 1.2.

Match preview

Llerenense host Santa Amalia in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (Group 14 - 5) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026.

This season Llerenense score 1.4 and concede 0.3 goals a game; Santa Amalia score 0.9 and concede 1.1.

In their last 4 meetings, Llerenense won 3, Santa Amalia won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Llerenense vs Santa Amalia?

Our model gives Llerenense 45%, the draw 45% and Santa Amalia 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 65% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 72% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Llerenense 1 - 1 Santa Amalia. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Llerenense vs Santa Amalia?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 16:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
LlerenenseSanta Amalia
Goals scored
1.40.9
Goals conceded
0.31.1
Clean sheets
71%43%

Model comparison

Percent
LlerenenseSanta Amalia
Form
68%32%
Attack
50%50%
Defence
71%29%
Head to head
75%25%
Goals
63%38%
Overall
65%35%
Form, last 5 games
87%40%
Goals scored, last 5
6.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
2.05.0
Goal forecast: Llerenense Under 2.5, Santa Amalia Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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