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UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
Liverpool
4 - 3Full time
Villarreal
Anfield · Referee: Szymon Marciniak

Liverpool vs Villarreal Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.12
86%
Confidence · High
LiverpoolDrawVillarreal
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
39%
Double chance
1X
86%
Avg goals
5.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Liverpool or draw and +2.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Liverpool WW, Villarreal LW (oldest to newest).
  • Liverpool score 4.0 a game this season; Villarreal score 2.5.

Match preview

Liverpool host Villarreal in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3) on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at Anfield.

This season Liverpool score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Villarreal score 1.4 and concede 1.4.

In their last 4 meetings, Liverpool won 3, Villarreal won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 86% confidence, priced at 1.12.

Quick answers

Who will win Liverpool vs Villarreal?

Our model gives Liverpool 53%, the draw 34% and Villarreal 14%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (86% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 66% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Liverpool 2 - 1 Villarreal. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 86% confidence at odds of 1.12.

When is Liverpool vs Villarreal?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 20 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Anfield. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 4'Georges Mikautadze
  2. 27'Alberto Moleiro
  3. 29'Sergi Cardona BermúdezAssist: Nathan-Dylan Saliba
  4. Alexis Mac AllisterAssist: Konstantinos Tsimikas36'
  5. 41'Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González
  6. Ronald Araujo ⇄ Florian Wirtz45'
  7. 45'Nathan-Dylan Saliba ⇄ Tani Oluwaseyi
  8. Ronald AraujoAssist: Rio Ngumoha45+2'
  9. 54'Alberto Moleiro ⇄ Juan Foyth
  10. 60'Tajon Buchanan ⇄ Alex Freeman
  11. 60'Georges Mikautadze ⇄ Ayoze Pérez
  12. Alexis Mac AllisterAssist: Rio Ngumoha65'
  13. Lewis Koumas ⇄ Alexander Isak66'
  14. Florian WirtzAssist: Cody Gakpo68'
  15. Rio Ngumoha ⇄ Bradley Barcola74'
  16. Jérémy Jacquet ⇄ Joe Gomez74'
  17. 78'Santi Comesaña ⇄ Gerard Moreno
  18. Treymaurice Nyoni ⇄ James McConnell81'
  19. 87'Tani OluwaseyiAssist: Ayoze Pérez

Match stats

LiverpoolVillarreal
Possession
53%47%
Expected goals (xG)
2.411.59
Shots
2214
Shots on target
75
Corners
72
Fouls
1210
Offsides
24
Yellow cards
02
Red cards
00
Saves
24
Passes
541498