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Primera División · Clausura - 11
Liverpool Montevideo
1 - 0Full time
Penarol
Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera · Referee: Esteban Ostojich

Liverpool Montevideo vs Penarol Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.36
80%
Confidence · High
Liverpool MontevideoDrawPenarol
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
50%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
2/2
22%
Double chance
X2
80%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Penarol.
  • Recent form: Liverpool Montevideo LDWWD, Penarol WWDWD (oldest to newest).
  • Liverpool Montevideo score 1.3 a game this season; Penarol score 1.7.

Match preview

Liverpool Montevideo host Penarol in the Primera División (Clausura - 11) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera.

This season Liverpool Montevideo score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Penarol score 1.6 and concede 0.8.

In their last 5 meetings, Liverpool Montevideo won 1, Penarol won 3 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 80% confidence, priced at 1.36.

Quick answers

Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Penarol?

Our model gives Liverpool Montevideo 20%, the draw 36% and Penarol 44%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (80% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 50% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Liverpool Montevideo 1 - 1 Penarol. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 80% confidence at odds of 1.36.

When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Penarol?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 21:30 UTC at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 13'Jesús Trindade
  2. Enzo Castillo Sosa26'
  3. 32'Mauricio Lemos
  4. 45+2'Jesús Trindade
  5. 46'Mauricio Lemos ⇄ Thiago Espinosa
  6. 48'Eric Remedi
  7. Kevin Lewis63'
  8. Renzo Machado ⇄ Rubén Bentancourt65'
  9. Kevin Lewis ⇄ Diego Romero Lanz65'
  10. Ramiro Matias Degregorio ⇄ Diego Zabala71'
  11. Federico Martinez73'
  12. 75'Matías Arezo ⇄ Abel Hernández
  13. 75'Cristian Jaime ⇄ Franco González
  14. 75'Javier Cabrera ⇄ Roberto Fernández
  15. 79'Germán Pezzella
  16. Nicolas Garayalde84'
  17. Lucas acosta ⇄ Santiago Laquidain87'
  18. Nicolas Garayalde ⇄ Santiago Milano Larrosa87'
  19. 87'Eric Remedi ⇄ Luis Miguel Angulo
  20. Santiago Milano Larrosa88'
  21. 90'eduardo darias

Match stats

Liverpool MontevideoPenarol
Possession
63%37%
Shots
105
Shots on target
30
Corners
54
Yellow cards
45
Red cards
01