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Copa Uruguay · Round of 16
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro Largo
Estadio Belvedere

Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.12
85%
Confidence · High
Liverpool MontevideoDrawCerro Largo
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
59%
Correct score
1-0
13%
HT/FT
1/1
35%
Double chance
1X
85%
Avg goals
2.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Liverpool Montevideo or draw.
  • Recent form: Liverpool Montevideo WLW, Cerro Largo LDW (oldest to newest).
  • Liverpool Montevideo score 1.7 a game this season; Cerro Largo score 1.0.

Match preview

Liverpool Montevideo host Cerro Largo in the Copa Uruguay (Round of 16) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Estadio Belvedere.

This season Liverpool Montevideo score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Cerro Largo score 0.9 and concede 1.2.

In their last 5 meetings, Liverpool Montevideo won 2, Cerro Largo won 1 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 85% confidence, priced at 1.12.

Quick answers

Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?

Our model gives Liverpool Montevideo 51%, the draw 35% and Cerro Largo 15%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (85% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 54% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Liverpool Montevideo 1 - 0 Cerro Largo. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 85% confidence at odds of 1.12.

When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estadio Belvedere. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
Goals scored
1.30.9
Goals conceded
0.91.2
Clean sheets
45%24%

Model comparison

Percent
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
Form
60%40%
Attack
63%38%
Defence
75%25%
Poisson model
85%15%
Head to head
62%38%
Goals
56%44%
Overall
67%33%
Form, last 5 games
67%44%
Goals scored, last 5
5.03.0
Goals conceded, last 5
1.03.0
Goal forecast: Liverpool Montevideo Under 2.5, Cerro Largo Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw