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Premier League · Regular Season - 9
Liverpool
Arsenal
Anfield

Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.62
64%
Confidence · Fair
LiverpoolDrawArsenal
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes
56%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
2/2
23%
Double chance
1X
64%
Avg goals
2.3
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : Liverpool or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Liverpool DWLWW, Arsenal WLWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Liverpool score 1.4 a game this season; Arsenal score 1.6.

Match preview

Liverpool host Arsenal in the Premier League (Regular Season - 9) on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Anfield.

Liverpool come into the game with a form of DWWWW (newest first; 4 wins in their last 5), while Arsenal have DWWW (newest first; 3 wins in their last 4).

This season Liverpool score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Arsenal score 1.6 and concede 0.6.

In their last 5 meetings, Liverpool won 2, Arsenal won 0 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 64% confidence, priced at 1.62.

Quick answers

Who will win Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Our model gives Liverpool 33%, the draw 31% and Arsenal 36%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (64% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Liverpool 1 - 1 Arsenal. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 64% confidence at odds of 1.62.

When is Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 16:30 UTC at Anfield. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
LiverpoolArsenal
Goals scored
1.41.6
Goals conceded
1.00.6
Clean sheets
50%63%

Model comparison

Percent
LiverpoolArsenal
Form
45%55%
Attack
42%58%
Defence
50%50%
Poisson model
33%67%
Head to head
75%25%
Goals
58%42%
Overall
51%50%
Form, last 5 games
67%80%
Goals scored, last 5
5.07.0
Goals conceded, last 5
4.04.0
Goal forecast: Liverpool Under 1.5, Arsenal Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw