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Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 16
Libertad Asuncion
1 - 0Full time
Sportivo Luqueno
Dr. Nicolás Leoz · Referee: Juan Gabriel Benitez

Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.11
88%
Confidence · High
Libertad AsuncionDrawSportivo Luqueno
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53%
BTTS
No
51%
Correct score
1-0
10%
HT/FT
1/1
38%
Double chance
1X
88%
Avg goals
2.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Libertad Asuncion or draw.
  • Recent form: Libertad Asuncion DLWDL, Sportivo Luqueno WLLLW (oldest to newest).
  • Libertad Asuncion score 1.5 a game this season; Sportivo Luqueno score 1.1.

Match preview

Libertad Asuncion host Sportivo Luqueno in the Division Profesional - Clausura (Clausura - 16) on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Dr. Nicolás Leoz.

This season Libertad Asuncion score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Sportivo Luqueno score 2.0 and concede 0.5.

In their last 5 meetings, Libertad Asuncion won 4, Sportivo Luqueno won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 88% confidence, priced at 1.11.

Quick answers

Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Our model gives Libertad Asuncion 54%, the draw 34% and Sportivo Luqueno 12%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (88% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 53% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Libertad Asuncion 1 - 0 Sportivo Luqueno. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.11.

When is Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Kick-off is Friday, 23 October 2026, 22:30 UTC at Dr. Nicolás Leoz. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 41'Jonathan Vidal Ramos Benitez
  2. 45'M. Barreto ⇄ Adrián Brizuela
  3. Alvaro Campuzado53'
  4. Lucas Sanabria ⇄ Federico Carrizo54'
  5. Gustavo Aguilar ⇄ Ivan Emanuel Ramirez Ferreira54'
  6. Hugo Fernandez ⇄ Lorenzo Melgarejo55'
  7. 57'Samuel Beltrán ⇄ Aldo Maiz
  8. Nestor Gimenez ⇄ J. Estigarribia Meza67'
  9. 70'Iván Maggi ⇄ Walter González
  10. 70'Marcelo Ojeda ⇄ Kevin Pereira
  11. 70'Jonathan Vidal Ramos Benitez ⇄ Lautaro Comas
  12. Lorenzo MelgarejoAssist: Federico Carrizo71'
  13. Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez ⇄ Rodrigo Villalba75'
  14. 82'Lucas Ramón Barrios Cáceres
  15. N. Valdez84'
  16. 85'Fernando Benitez Aguirre
  17. 86'Walter González
  18. Rodrigo Villalba90+2'

Match stats

Libertad AsuncionSportivo Luqueno
Possession
48%52%
Expected goals (xG)
1.661.28
Shots
1216
Shots on target
46
Corners
48
Fouls
114
Offsides
13
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
00
Saves
63
Passes
511265