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Copa Paraguay · Quarter-finals
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente F.b.c.
La Arboleda

Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c. Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
Libertad AsuncionDrawIndependiente F.b.c.
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
Yes
51%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Libertad Asuncion or draw.
  • Recent form: Libertad Asuncion WW, Independiente F.b.c. WW (oldest to newest).
  • Libertad Asuncion score 1.5 a game this season; Independiente F.b.c. score 2.0.

Match preview

Libertad Asuncion host Independiente F.b.c. in the Copa Paraguay (Quarter-finals) on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at La Arboleda.

This season Libertad Asuncion score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Independiente F.b.c. score 1.6 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, Libertad Asuncion won 3, Independiente F.b.c. won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?

Our model gives Libertad Asuncion 45%, the draw 45% and Independiente F.b.c. 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 54% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Libertad Asuncion 1 - 1 Independiente F.b.c.. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?

Kick-off is Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 22:30 UTC at La Arboleda. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Libertad AsuncionIndependiente F.b.c.
Goals scored
1.51.6
Goals conceded
1.11.3
Clean sheets
20%34%

Model comparison

Percent
Libertad AsuncionIndependiente F.b.c.
Form
50%50%
Attack
43%57%
Defence
67%33%
Head to head
60%40%
Goals
50%50%
Overall
54%46%
Form, last 5 games
100%100%
Goals scored, last 5
3.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
1.02.0
Goal forecast: Libertad Asuncion Under 2.5, Independiente F.b.c. Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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