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Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 13
Leones Negros UDG
1 - 2Full time
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Estadio Jalisco · Referee: L. A. Garcia Olvera

Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds1.42
55%
Confidence · Fair
Leones Negros UDGDrawAlebrijes de Oaxaca
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
2-0
9%
HT/FT
1/1
40%
Double chance
1X
88%
Avg goals
3.2
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : Leones Negros UDG and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Leones Negros UDG DLWWD, Alebrijes de Oaxaca WLLLW (oldest to newest).
  • Leones Negros UDG score 2.3 a game this season; Alebrijes de Oaxaca score 0.8.

Match preview

Leones Negros UDG host Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Liga de Expansión MX (Apertura - 13) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Estadio Jalisco.

This season Leones Negros UDG score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals a game; Alebrijes de Oaxaca score 0.9 and concede 1.8.

In their last 5 meetings, Leones Negros UDG won 2, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 55% confidence, priced at 1.42.

Quick answers

Who will win Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Our model gives Leones Negros UDG 55%, the draw 32% and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 12%. Our tip is Home Win (55% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Leones Negros UDG 2 - 0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.11.

When is Leones Negros UDG vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 18:00 UTC at Estadio Jalisco. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 8'K. Alvarez
  2. 10'Andrey Marcos
  3. J. BrigidoAssist: A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago13'
  4. 17'C. Rodas ⇄ O. Paz Vasquez
  5. 42'J. BustosPenalty
  6. J. Marchand48'
  7. O. Gonzalez54'
  8. U. Meza58'
  9. 60'A. Hernandez ⇄ A. Vazquez Hernandez
  10. J. Brigido ⇄ J. Cazares65'
  11. S. A. Hernandez ⇄ J. Perez65'
  12. J. Escalante66'
  13. 71'Andrey Marcos
  14. 75'P. Villa
  15. A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago76'
  16. O. Gil ⇄ K. Loera79'
  17. A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago ⇄ A. Carreon79'
  18. 83'E. Sanchez
  19. J. Escalante ⇄ M. Nuno88'
  20. 90+3'P. Villa ⇄ E. Lopez
  21. 90+3'J. Bustos ⇄ D. Collazo