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Liga Pro · Placement Group - 3
Leones del Norte
1 - 3Full time
Emelec
Jaime Teran Olympic Stadium · Referee: Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar

Leones del Norte vs Emelec Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.91
71%
Confidence · Good
Leones del NorteDrawEmelec
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
BTTS
No
56%
Correct score
1-0
13%
HT/FT
1/1
27%
Double chance
X2
71%
Avg goals
2.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Emelec.
  • Recent form: Leones del Norte WDLDL, Emelec DWLLL (oldest to newest).
  • Leones del Norte score 1.0 a game this season; Emelec score 0.9.

Match preview

Leones del Norte host Emelec in the Liga Pro (Placement Group - 3) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Jaime Teran Olympic Stadium.

This season Leones del Norte score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals a game; Emelec score 0.9 and concede 1.2.

In their last 3 meetings, Leones del Norte won 1, Emelec won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 71% confidence, priced at 1.91.

Quick answers

Who will win Leones del Norte vs Emelec?

Our model gives Leones del Norte 29%, the draw 37% and Emelec 33%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (71% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 61% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Leones del Norte 1 - 0 Emelec. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 71% confidence at odds of 1.91.

When is Leones del Norte vs Emelec?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Jaime Teran Olympic Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 14'Francisco Pizzini
  2. 45'Estalin Segura ⇄ Ignacio Guerrico
  3. Jonathan Ronaldo Arroyo ⇄ Thomas Amilivia52'
  4. Martín Caramuto57'
  5. 59'Ronie CarrilloPenalty confirmed
  6. Alexis Nicolás Monserrat61'
  7. 62'Ronie CarrilloPenalty
  8. 63'Francisco Pizzini ⇄ Teodoro Arce
  9. 64'Juan Pablo·Ruiz Gomez
  10. 67'Teodoro Arce
  11. 69'Ezequiel Luis Medrán
  12. 77'Juan Pablo·Ruiz Gomez ⇄ Víctor Griffith
  13. 77'Ronie Carrillo ⇄ Luca Klimowicz
  14. Segundo Portocarrero ⇄ Charles Velez85'
  15. Alexis Nicolás Monserrat ⇄ Jordan Eduardo Morán Cortez85'
  16. 90+1'Reixon David Saya ParedesAssist: Teodoro Arce
  17. 90+2'Teodoro Arce ⇄ Jose Francisco Cevallos

Match stats

Leones del NorteEmelec
Possession
55%45%
Expected goals (xG)
0.491.71
Shots
1417
Shots on target
55
Corners
68
Fouls
715
Offsides
31
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
00
Saves
24
Passes
276227