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Primera C · Round of 16
Leones de Rosario
Mercedes

Leones de Rosario vs Mercedes Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.80
71%
Confidence · Good
Leones de RosarioDrawMercedes
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
BTTS
No
61%
Correct score
1-0
15%
HT/FT
1/1
27%
Double chance
X2
71%
Avg goals
1.8
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mercedes and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: Leones de Rosario DLWWL, Mercedes WWDWW (oldest to newest).
  • Leones de Rosario score 1.0 a game this season; Mercedes score 1.0.

Match preview

Leones de Rosario host Mercedes in the Primera C (Round of 16) on Monday, 26 October 2026.

This season Leones de Rosario score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals a game; Mercedes score 1.0 and concede 0.8.

In their last 1 meetings, Leones de Rosario won 0, Mercedes won 1 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 71% confidence, priced at 1.80.

Quick answers

Who will win Leones de Rosario vs Mercedes?

Our model gives Leones de Rosario 29%, the draw 37% and Mercedes 33%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (71% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 61% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 65% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Leones de Rosario 1 - 0 Mercedes. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 71% confidence at odds of 1.80.

When is Leones de Rosario vs Mercedes?

Kick-off is Monday, 26 October 2026, 18:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
Leones de RosarioMercedes
Goals scored
1.01.0
Goals conceded
0.80.8
Clean sheets
45%48%

Model comparison

Percent
Leones de RosarioMercedes
Form
35%65%
Attack
50%50%
Defence
29%71%
Poisson model
54%46%
Head to head
0%100%
Goals
33%67%
Overall
40%60%
Form, last 5 games
47%87%
Goals scored, last 5
6.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
5.02.0
Goal forecast: Leones de Rosario Under 2.5, Mercedes Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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