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Premier League · Regular Season - 7
Leeds
1 - 1Full time
Manchester United
Elland Road · Referee: Darren England

Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds1.50
77%
Confidence · Good
LeedsDrawManchester United
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
1-1
11%
HT/FT
1/1
20%
Double chance
X2
77%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or Manchester United.
  • Recent form: Leeds DDWDL, Manchester United WDLDD (oldest to newest).
  • Leeds score 1.3 a game this season; Manchester United score 1.5.

Match preview

Leeds host Manchester United in the Premier League (Regular Season - 7) on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Elland Road.

This season Leeds score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Manchester United score 1.4 and concede 1.4.

In their last 5 meetings, Leeds won 1, Manchester United won 1 and 3 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 77% confidence, priced at 1.50.

Quick answers

Who will win Leeds vs Manchester United?

Our model gives Leeds 23%, the draw 37% and Manchester United 40%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (77% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 50% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Leeds 1 - 1 Manchester United. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 77% confidence at odds of 1.50.

When is Leeds vs Manchester United?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Elland Road. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 17'Bruno Fernandes
  2. Gabriel Gudmundsson19'
  3. 35'Bryan MbeumoAssist: Youri Tielemans
  4. 45'Lisandro Martínez ⇄ Noussair Mazraoui
  5. Dominic Calvert-LewinAssist: Tarik Muharemovic51'
  6. Noah Okafor ⇄ Lukas Nmecha74'
  7. 74'Carlos Baleba ⇄ Mason Mount
  8. Ao Tanaka ⇄ Sean Longstaff81'
  9. 84'Youri Tielemans ⇄ Matheus Cunha
  10. Ethan Ampadu90+2'
  11. 90+2'Andrey Santos

Match stats

LeedsManchester United
Possession
61%39%
Expected goals (xG)
1.480.93
Shots
1213
Shots on target
53
Corners
23
Fouls
165
Offsides
23
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
00
Saves
23
Passes
530345