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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2
Lech Poznan
0 - 4Full time
Bayer Leverkusen
Stadion Miejski · Referee: Milos Milanovic

Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds2.38
63%
Confidence · Fair
Lech PoznanDrawBayer Leverkusen
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
Yes
65%
Correct score
1-2
8%
HT/FT
2/2
36%
Double chance
1X
63%
Avg goals
3.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Lech Poznan or draw.
  • Recent form: Lech Poznan WWWDL, Bayer Leverkusen W (oldest to newest).
  • Lech Poznan score 3.0 a game this season; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.0.

Match preview

Lech Poznan host Bayer Leverkusen in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 2) on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at Stadion Miejski.

This season Lech Poznan score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Bayer Leverkusen score 4.0 and concede 0.0.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 63% confidence, priced at 2.38.

Quick answers

Who will win Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Our model gives Lech Poznan 31%, the draw 32% and Bayer Leverkusen 37%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (63% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 65% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 72% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Lech Poznan 1 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 63% confidence at odds of 2.38.

When is Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Kick-off is Thursday, 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Stadion Miejski. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. Wojciech Monka ⇄ Terry Yegbe15'
  2. 18'Martin Terrier ⇄ Patrik Schick
  3. 25'Ibrahim MazaPenalty confirmed
  4. 29'Patrik SchickPenalty
  5. 32'Malik Tillman
  6. 38'Patrik SchickPenalty confirmed
  7. Mateusz Skrzypczak40'
  8. 41'Patrik SchickPenalty
  9. Mikael Ishak ⇄ Y. Agnero60'
  10. Leo Bengtsson ⇄ Filip Jagiełło60'
  11. Patrick Walemark ⇄ Daniel Håkans60'
  12. 62'Nathan Tella ⇄ Moussa Diaby
  13. 62'Aleix García ⇄ Robert Andrich
  14. 62'Miguel Gutiérrez ⇄ Facundo Medina
  15. 68'Robert Andrich
  16. Gustav Berggren ⇄ Pablo Rodriguez Delgado74'
  17. 76'Patrik Schick ⇄ Afonso Moreira
  18. 80'Moussa Diaby
  19. 88'Ibrahim MazaAssist: Afonso Moreira

Match stats

Lech PoznanBayer Leverkusen
Possession
39%61%
Expected goals (xG)
0.545.40
Shots
1022
Shots on target
310
Corners
45
Fouls
516
Offsides
14
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
00
Saves
73
Passes
374586