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Liga 3 · Regular Season - 8
Leça
Varzim
Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube

Leça vs Varzim Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
LeçaDrawVarzim
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
1-1
7%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Leça or draw.
  • Recent form: Leça WLWWL, Varzim WLLLL (oldest to newest).
  • Leça score 1.3 a game this season; Varzim score 1.6.

Match preview

Leça host Varzim in the Liga 3 (Regular Season - 8) on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube.

This season Leça score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Varzim score 1.6 and concede 1.6.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Leça vs Varzim?

Our model gives Leça 45%, the draw 45% and Varzim 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 55% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Leça 1 - 1 Varzim. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Leça vs Varzim?

Kick-off is Saturday, 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC at Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
LeçaVarzim
Goals scored
1.31.6
Goals conceded
1.31.6
Clean sheets
14%14%

Model comparison

Percent
LeçaVarzim
Form
75%25%
Attack
50%50%
Defence
63%38%
Poisson model
23%77%
Overall
53%48%
Form, last 5 games
60%20%
Goals scored, last 5
8.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.010.0
Goal forecast: Leça Under 2.5, Varzim Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw