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Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Group 16 - 9
La Calzada
San Marcial

La Calzada vs San Marcial Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
La CalzadaDrawSan Marcial
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No
51%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
2/2
28%
Double chance
X2
90%
Avg goals
2.5
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : draw or San Marcial.
  • Recent form: La Calzada LWLWW, San Marcial LDWWW (oldest to newest).
  • La Calzada score 1.6 a game this season; San Marcial score 1.4.

Match preview

La Calzada host San Marcial in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (Group 16 - 9) on Sunday, 1 November 2026.

This season La Calzada score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals a game; San Marcial score 1.4 and concede 0.6.

In their last 2 meetings, La Calzada won 0, San Marcial won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win La Calzada vs San Marcial?

Our model gives La Calzada 10%, the draw 45% and San Marcial 45%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 51% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 56% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is La Calzada 1 - 1 San Marcial. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 90% confidence.

When is La Calzada vs San Marcial?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 16:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
La CalzadaSan Marcial
Goals scored
1.61.4
Goals conceded
1.30.6
Clean sheets
38%50%

Model comparison

Percent
La CalzadaSan Marcial
Form
47%53%
Attack
36%64%
Defence
36%64%
Poisson model
38%62%
Head to head
20%80%
Goals
40%60%
Overall
36%64%
Form, last 5 games
60%67%
Goals scored, last 5
5.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
7.04.0
Goal forecast: La Calzada Under 1.5, San Marcial Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw

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