Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.40
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
21%36%43%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or Motherwell.
- Recent form: Kilmarnock LDWDL, Motherwell WLLLL (oldest to newest).
- Kilmarnock score 0.9 a game this season; Motherwell score 1.1.
Match preview
Kilmarnock host Motherwell in the Premiership (Regular Season - 9) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park.
This season Kilmarnock score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals a game; Motherwell score 1.2 and concede 1.8.
In their last 5 meetings, Kilmarnock won 1, Motherwell won 3 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 79% confidence, priced at 1.40.
Quick answers
Who will win Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
Our model gives Kilmarnock 21%, the draw 36% and Motherwell 43%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (79% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 61% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Motherwell. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 79% confidence at odds of 1.40.
When is Kilmarnock vs Motherwell?
Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- ●Greg Kiltie2'
- 17'Alex·Lowry●
- ⇄Michael-John Kamson-Kamara ⇄ Jamie Brandon33'
- ⇄Bailey Rice ⇄ Aaron Tshibola35'
- VARGeorge StangerRed card cancelled52'
- George Stanger55'
- 56'Sebastian Palmer-Houlden●
- ●Tyreece John-JulesAssist: Jamie Brandon58'
- 68'Sebastian Palmer-Houlden ⇄ Eythor Bjørgolfsson⇄
- 68'Alex·Lowry ⇄ Jardell Kanga⇄
- 68'Martin Moormann ⇄ Jake Max Girdwood-Reich⇄
- ●Greg KiltieAssist: Jamie Brandon69'
- 75'Lukas Fadinger ⇄ Dylan Levitt⇄
- ⇄Greg Kiltie ⇄ Ieuan Gwyn Owen77'
- ⇄Tyreece John-Jules ⇄ Djenairo Daniels77'
- 81'Tom Sparrow ⇄ Johnny Koutroumbis⇄
Match stats
KilmarnockMotherwell
Expected goals (xG)
1.562.46
Key stats
Per game, this seasonKilmarnockMotherwell
Model comparison
PercentKilmarnockMotherwell
Goals scored, last 5
3.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
5.09.0
Goal forecast: Kilmarnock Under 1.5, Motherwell Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Kilmarnock · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Motherwell · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Head to head
Last 10Jan 2026Motherwell4-0Kilmarnock
Nov 2025Kilmarnock1-3Motherwell
Aug 2025Motherwell2-2Kilmarnock
May 2025Motherwell3-0Kilmarnock
Apr 2025Kilmarnock2-0Motherwell
Jan 2025Kilmarnock0-0Motherwell
Dec 2024Motherwell1-1Kilmarnock
Aug 2024Motherwell1-0Kilmarnock
Feb 2024Motherwell1-1Kilmarnock
Nov 2023Kilmarnock1-0Motherwell
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X13.00
1/221.00
X/26.00
X/X6.00
1/14.50
X/17.00
2/123.00
2/X13.00
2/23.60
Correct score
1-17.00
1-29.50
2-111.00
0-111.00
1-012.00
2-212.00
0-213.00
0-015.00
2-017.00
1-317.00
0-321.00
3-121.00
2-321.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedKilmarnock 4-2-3-1
12C. Ferrie
3Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
4C. McCarthy
14G. Stanger
21M. Schjønning-Larsen
49B. Rice
18T. Lowery
8E. Ring
10T. John-Jules
11G. Kiltie
9J. Hugill
Motherwell 4-2-3-1
1A. Paulsen
7T. Sparrow
2S. O'Donnell
5M. Moormann
45M. Emmanuel
8L. Fadinger
71J. Hodge
18Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
11A. Lowry
19I. Said
47S. Palmer-Houlden
