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Premier League · Regular Season - 7
KCCA
UPDF
MTN Omondi Stadium

KCCA vs UPDF Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
KCCADrawUPDF
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
82%
BTTS
No
73%
Correct score
1-1
7%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
1.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : KCCA or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: KCCA LDWWW, UPDF LDWWL (oldest to newest).
  • KCCA score 0.7 a game this season; UPDF score 0.7.

Match preview

KCCA host UPDF in the Premier League (Regular Season - 7) on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at MTN Omondi Stadium.

This season KCCA score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals a game; UPDF score 0.7 and concede 0.8.

In their last 5 meetings, KCCA won 4, UPDF won 0 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win KCCA vs UPDF?

Our model gives KCCA 45%, the draw 45% and UPDF 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 73% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 82% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is KCCA 1 - 1 UPDF. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is KCCA vs UPDF?

Kick-off is Thursday, 22 October 2026, 16:00 UTC at MTN Omondi Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
KCCAUPDF
Goals scored
0.70.7
Goals conceded
0.70.8
Clean sheets
67%50%

Model comparison

Percent
KCCAUPDF
Form
59%41%
Attack
50%50%
Defence
71%29%
Poisson model
34%66%
Head to head
93%7%
Goals
82%18%
Overall
65%35%
Form, last 5 games
67%47%
Goals scored, last 5
4.04.0
Goals conceded, last 5
2.05.0
Goal forecast: KCCA Under 1.5, UPDF Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw