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Premier League · Regular Season - 8
KCCA
Lugazi
MTN Omondi Stadium

KCCA vs Lugazi Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
KCCADrawLugazi
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
77%
BTTS
No
70%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
1.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : KCCA or draw and -3.5 goals.
  • Recent form: KCCA LDWWW, Lugazi WLLDD (oldest to newest).
  • KCCA score 0.7 a game this season; Lugazi score 0.6.

Match preview

KCCA host Lugazi in the Premier League (Regular Season - 8) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at MTN Omondi Stadium.

This season KCCA score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals a game; Lugazi score 0.6 and concede 1.3.

In their last 4 meetings, KCCA won 2, Lugazi won 0 and 2 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win KCCA vs Lugazi?

Our model gives KCCA 45%, the draw 45% and Lugazi 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 70% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 77% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is KCCA 1 - 1 Lugazi. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is KCCA vs Lugazi?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 17:00 UTC at MTN Omondi Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
KCCALugazi
Goals scored
0.70.6
Goals conceded
0.71.3
Clean sheets
67%43%

Model comparison

Percent
KCCALugazi
Form
67%33%
Attack
80%20%
Defence
71%29%
Poisson model
58%42%
Head to head
80%20%
Goals
90%10%
Overall
74%26%
Form, last 5 games
67%33%
Goals scored, last 5
4.01.0
Goals conceded, last 5
2.05.0
Goal forecast: KCCA Under 1.5, Lugazi Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw