Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap Prediction, Odds & Tips
Draw or Away (X2)Odds1.50
Jong AjaxDrawDe Graafschap
24%34%42%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Double chance : draw or De Graafschap.
- Recent form: Jong Ajax WLLDL, De Graafschap WLWDW (oldest to newest).
- Jong Ajax score 1.3 a game this season; De Graafschap score 1.3.
Match preview
Jong Ajax host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 11) on Monday, 19 October 2026 at Sportpark De Toekomst.
In their last 5 meetings, Jong Ajax won 2, De Graafschap won 2 and 1 ended level.
Our model leans towards Draw or Away (X2) with 76% confidence, priced at 1.50.
Quick answers
Who will win Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?
Our model gives Jong Ajax 24%, the draw 34% and De Graafschap 42%. Our tip is Draw or Away (X2) (76% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 73% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 74% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Jong Ajax 1 - 1 De Graafschap. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 76% confidence at odds of 1.50.
When is Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap?
Kick-off is Monday, 19 October 2026, 18:00 UTC at Sportpark De Toekomst. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- Marvyn Muzungu14'
- Ryan van de Pavert21'
- ●emre unuvar43'
- 45'Donny WarmerdamAssist: Mark Diemers●
- 60'Levi Schoppema ⇄ Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff⇄
- 60'gabriele finocchiaro ⇄ Bjorn van Zijl⇄
- 60'Kyano Kwint ⇄ Julian kania⇄
- 72'Rowan Besselink
- ⇄Leo Salazar ⇄ Anass Moumane72'
- 78'Toivo Mero ⇄ Nart Ahmeti-Grainca⇄
- ⇄Jahyendrow Amour ⇄ Sinclair de Falco78'
- ⇄Mohamed Jabou Abdalla ⇄ Levi Acheampong78'
- ●Jano MonserrateAssist: Ryan van de Pavert79'
- ⇄Ryan van de Pavert ⇄ Mylo van der Lans85'
- ⇄Jano Monserrate ⇄ Jinairo Johnson85'
- 85'Thomas Kok ⇄ Clint Leemans⇄
Match stats
Jong AjaxDe Graafschap
Expected goals (xG)
2.850.73
Key stats
Per game, this seasonJong AjaxDe Graafschap
Model comparison
PercentJong AjaxDe Graafschap
Goals scored, last 5
2.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
11.06.0
Goal forecast: Jong Ajax Under 1.5, De Graafschap Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Jong Ajax · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
De Graafschap · last 0
0W 0D 0LNo matches.
Head to head
Last 10Feb 2026De Graafschap4-0Jong Ajax
Oct 2025Jong Ajax2-2De Graafschap
Apr 2025De Graafschap2-0Jong Ajax
Dec 2024Jong Ajax2-0De Graafschap
Mar 2024De Graafschap0-2Jong Ajax
Aug 2023Jong Ajax1-2De Graafschap
Jan 2023De Graafschap3-0Jong Ajax
Aug 2022Jong Ajax5-1De Graafschap
May 2022Jong Ajax1-1De Graafschap
Nov 2021De Graafschap1-3Jong Ajax
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X13.00
1/219.00
X/27.00
X/X8.00
1/13.75
X/17.00
2/119.00
2/X13.00
2/23.75
Correct score
1-19.00
2-29.50
1-211.00
2-112.00
3-117.00
3-217.00
1-317.00
2-317.00
1-021.00
2-021.00
0-121.00
3-321.00
0-221.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedJong Ajax 4-3-3
1C. Setford
2R. van de Pavert
3G. Spina
4M. Muzungu
5J. Amour
10Alejandro Monserrate
6T. Peters
8Mohamed Abdalla
7Leo Salazar
9E. Ünüvar
11P. Nash
De Graafschap 4-3-3
1T. Wieggers
16N. Martens
3R. Besselink
15T. Kok
5L. Schoppema
10F. de Jong
23M. Diemers
8D. Warmerdam
20Gabriele Finocchiaro
40Kyano Kwint
11T. Mero
