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Copa Santa Catarina · Group Stage - 9
Joinville
Metropolitano
Arena Joinville

Joinville vs Metropolitano Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
90%
Confidence · High
JoinvilleDrawMetropolitano
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
Yes
69%
Correct score
2-2
3%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
3.6
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Joinville or draw.
  • Recent form: Joinville LWWWL, Metropolitano WLDWD (oldest to newest).
  • Joinville score 1.9 a game this season; Metropolitano score 1.9.

Match preview

Joinville host Metropolitano in the Copa Santa Catarina (Group Stage - 9) on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at Arena Joinville.

This season Joinville score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Metropolitano score 1.9 and concede 2.1.

In their last 1 meetings, Joinville won 1, Metropolitano won 0 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 90% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Joinville vs Metropolitano?

Our model gives Joinville 45%, the draw 45% and Metropolitano 10%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (90% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 69% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 70% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Joinville 2 - 2 Metropolitano. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Joinville vs Metropolitano?

Kick-off is Sunday, 1 November 2026, 18:00 UTC at Arena Joinville. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
JoinvilleMetropolitano
Goals scored
1.91.9
Goals conceded
1.32.1
Clean sheets
43%29%

Model comparison

Percent
JoinvilleMetropolitano
Form
53%47%
Attack
53%47%
Defence
55%45%
Poisson model
52%48%
Head to head
100%0%
Goals
100%0%
Overall
53%47%
Form, last 5 games
60%53%
Goals scored, last 5
10.09.0
Goals conceded, last 5
5.06.0
Goal forecast: Joinville Under 2.5, Metropolitano Under 2.5Model verdict: Win or draw