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Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Group 14 - 5
Jerez
Plasencia

Jerez vs Plasencia Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds–
95%
Confidence · High
JerezDrawPlasencia
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No
57%
Correct score
2-1
0%
HT/FT
1/1
31%
Double chance
1X
95%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Jerez or draw.
  • Recent form: Jerez WLLWW, Plasencia DLLLD (oldest to newest).
  • Jerez score 1.5 a game this season; Plasencia score 0.4.

Match preview

Jerez host Plasencia in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 (Group 14 - 5) on Wednesday, 21 October 2026.

This season Jerez score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals a game; Plasencia score 0.9 and concede 1.6.

In their last 5 meetings, Jerez won 3, Plasencia won 2 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 95% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Jerez vs Plasencia?

Our model gives Jerez 50%, the draw 50% and Plasencia 0%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (95% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 57% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 58% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Jerez 2 - 1 Plasencia. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 95% confidence.

When is Jerez vs Plasencia?

Kick-off is Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 17:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
JerezPlasencia
Goals scored
1.30.9
Goals conceded
1.01.6
Clean sheets
43%43%

Model comparison

Percent
JerezPlasencia
Form
82%18%
Attack
78%22%
Defence
62%38%
Poisson model
64%36%
Head to head
60%40%
Goals
60%40%
Overall
68%32%
Form, last 5 games
60%13%
Goals scored, last 5
7.02.0
Goals conceded, last 5
5.08.0
Goal forecast: Jerez Under 2.5, Plasencia Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw