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UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2
Jagiellonia
3 - 1Full time
Ararat-Armenia
Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku · Referee: Anastasios Papapetrou

Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.10
88%
Confidence · High
JagielloniaDrawArarat-Armenia
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS
Yes
52%
Correct score
2-0
10%
HT/FT
1/1
40%
Double chance
1X
88%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : Jagiellonia or draw.
  • Recent form: Jagiellonia WDWWL, Ararat-Armenia DWL (oldest to newest).
  • Jagiellonia score 2.0 a game this season; Ararat-Armenia score 1.0.

Match preview

Jagiellonia host Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 2) on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku.

This season Jagiellonia score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals a game; Ararat-Armenia score 1.9 and concede 0.9.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 88% confidence, priced at 1.10.

Quick answers

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia?

Our model gives Jagiellonia 55%, the draw 33% and Ararat-Armenia 12%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (88% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 52% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 60% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Jagiellonia 2 - 0 Ararat-Armenia. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.10.

When is Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia?

Kick-off is Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 11'Zidane BanjaquiAssist: Maxence Carlier
  2. Kamil Jóźwiak13'
  3. 17'Zidane Banjaqui ⇄ Zhirayr Shaghoyan
  4. Taras Romanczuk20'
  5. 30'Bruno Wilson
  6. Rodrigo ConceiçãoAssist: Ferslev Anders Klynge38'
  7. 49'Manuel Jorge da Silva Cruz
  8. Ousmane SowAssist: Jesús Imaz51'
  9. 57'Elvin Tera
  10. Ousmane Sow ⇄ Jeremy Agbonifo66'
  11. 68'Elvin Tera ⇄ Bernardo Oliveira Dias
  12. 68'Luís Felipe Fernandes Rodrigues ⇄ Karen Muradyan
  13. Kamil Jóźwiak ⇄ Dušan Stojinović68'
  14. Jesús Imaz ⇄ Eryk Kozlowski68'
  15. 76'Artur Serobyan ⇄ Carlos Henrique França Freires
  16. 76'Sandro Lima ⇄ Arayik Eloyan
  17. Kajetan·Szmyt ⇄ Aleksandar·Cirkovic79'
  18. Taras Romanczuk ⇄ Sergio Lozano80'
  19. Dušan Stojinović83'
  20. Eryk Kozlowski84'

Match stats

JagielloniaArarat-Armenia
Possession
42%58%
Expected goals (xG)
1.570.99
Shots
1315
Shots on target
54
Corners
23
Fouls
2214
Offsides
60
Yellow cards
32
Red cards
00
Saves
32
Passes
388524