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UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 1
HNK Hajduk Split
2 - 1Full time
Ajax
Stadion Poljud · Referee: Christian-Petru Ciochirca

HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds2.25
68%
Confidence · Good
HNK Hajduk SplitDrawAjax
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
Yes
61%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
2/2
33%
Double chance
1X
68%
Avg goals
5.2
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Double chance : HNK Hajduk Split or draw and +2.5 goals.
  • Recent form: HNK Hajduk Split WWDW, Ajax WWDWW (oldest to newest).
  • HNK Hajduk Split score 3.5 a game this season; Ajax score 3.7.

Match preview

HNK Hajduk Split host Ajax in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 1) on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at Stadion Poljud.

This season HNK Hajduk Split score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals a game; Ajax score 3.0 and concede 1.3.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 68% confidence, priced at 2.25.

Quick answers

Who will win HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax?

Our model gives HNK Hajduk Split 34%, the draw 34% and Ajax 32%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (68% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 61% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 63% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is HNK Hajduk Split 1 - 1 Ajax. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 68% confidence at odds of 2.25.

When is HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax?

Kick-off is Thursday, 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC at Stadion Poljud. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. A. SanyangAssist: M. Soticek37'
  2. A. del Moral45'
  3. 53'D. KlaassenAssist: T. Kehrer
  4. M. SoticekAssist: M. Sego55'
  5. M. Sego60'
  6. A. del Moral ⇄ L. Dendoncker69'
  7. 76'D. Klaassen ⇄ J. Mokio
  8. 76'A. Ouazane ⇄ O. Gloukh
  9. 76'V. Tsygankov ⇄ L. Rosa
  10. 77'J. Torrents ⇄ Marcos Leonardo
  11. S. Hrgovic ⇄ D. Melnjak82'
  12. A. Sanyang ⇄ A. Sutalo82'
  13. M. Sego ⇄ C. Martin90+1'
  14. K. Fayad ⇄ A. Van Hoorenbeeck90+1'

Match stats

HNK Hajduk SplitAjax
Possession
43%57%
Expected goals (xG)
1.991.15
Shots
1412
Shots on target
84
Corners
45
Fouls
2013
Offsides
61
Yellow cards
20
Saves
36
Passes
375475
Pass accuracy
82%85%