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Veikkausliiga · Championship Group - 28
HJK Helsinki
4 - 0Full time
Gnistan
Bolt Arena · Referee: Peiman Simani

HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Draw (1X)
Odds1.10
87%
Confidence · High
HJK HelsinkiDrawGnistan
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
Yes
55%
Correct score
2-0
9%
HT/FT
1/1
39%
Double chance
1X
87%
Avg goals
2.9
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Double chance : HJK Helsinki or draw.
  • Recent form: HJK Helsinki WDDWW, Gnistan DWDDL (oldest to newest).
  • HJK Helsinki score 1.8 a game this season; Gnistan score 1.5.

Match preview

HJK Helsinki host Gnistan in the Veikkausliiga (Championship Group - 28) on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Bolt Arena.

This season HJK Helsinki score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals a game; Gnistan score 1.4 and concede 1.3.

In their last 5 meetings, HJK Helsinki won 3, Gnistan won 1 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 87% confidence, priced at 1.10.

Quick answers

Who will win HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?

Our model gives HJK Helsinki 54%, the draw 33% and Gnistan 13%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (87% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 55% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 64% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is HJK Helsinki 2 - 0 Gnistan. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 87% confidence at odds of 1.10.

When is HJK Helsinki vs Gnistan?

Kick-off is Saturday, 17 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Bolt Arena. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 12'Gabriel Europaeus
  2. 30'Artur Atarah
  3. Teemu Pukki ⇄ Liam Möller45'
  4. 47'Sergey Eremenko
  5. Mads Borchers50'
  6. 53'Edmund Arko-Mensah
  7. 57'Joakim Latonen ⇄ Roman Eremenko
  8. 57'Saku Ylätupa ⇄ Danny Pérez
  9. 60'Pakwo Abdoul Rachide Gnanou ⇄ Juhani Ojala
  10. Santeri HaaralaAssist: Kaius Simojoki60'
  11. Mads BorchersAssist: Santeri Haarala66'
  12. Pyry Mentu ⇄ Joona Veteli74'
  13. Alexander Ring ⇄ Martin Kirilov74'
  14. Santeri Haarala ⇄ Lucas Lingman74'
  15. 79'Artur Atarah ⇄ Otto Hannula
  16. Ville Tikkanen ⇄ Till Cissokho82'
  17. Mads Borchers90+2'

Match stats

HJK HelsinkiGnistan
Possession
63%37%
Expected goals (xG)
3.890.55
Shots
1911
Shots on target
104
Corners
46
Fouls
715
Offsides
01
Yellow cards
03
Red cards
01
Saves
46
Passes
657269

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