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Virsliga · Regular Season - 34
Grobiņa
Riga
Grobina Stadium

Grobiņa vs Riga Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Away Win
Odds1.18
63%
Confidence · Fair
GrobiņaDrawRiga
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS
No
54%
Correct score
0-2
10%
HT/FT
2/2
51%
Double chance
X2
95%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Riga.
  • Recent form: Grobiņa LDDLW, Riga DWWWW (oldest to newest).
  • Grobiņa score 0.8 a game this season; Riga score 2.7.

Match preview

Grobiņa host Riga in the Virsliga (Regular Season - 34) on Monday, 26 October 2026 at Grobina Stadium.

Riga have DWD (newest first; 1 win in their last 3).

This season Grobiņa score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals a game; Riga score 2.7 and concede 0.9.

In their last 5 meetings, Grobiņa won 0, Riga won 4 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Away Win with 63% confidence, priced at 1.18.

Quick answers

Who will win Grobiņa vs Riga?

Our model gives Grobiņa 4%, the draw 32% and Riga 63%. Our tip is Away Win (63% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 54% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 65% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Grobiņa 0 - 2 Riga. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 95% confidence at odds of 1.03.

When is Grobiņa vs Riga?

Kick-off is Monday, 26 October 2026, 16:00 UTC at Grobina Stadium. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
GrobiņaRiga
Goals scored
0.82.7
Goals conceded
1.70.9
Clean sheets
21%42%

Model comparison

Percent
GrobiņaRiga
Form
28%72%
Attack
38%62%
Defence
33%67%
Poisson model
17%83%
Head to head
7%93%
Goals
8%92%
Overall
22%78%
Form, last 5 games
33%87%
Goals scored, last 5
5.08.0
Goals conceded, last 5
6.03.0
Goal forecast: Grobiņa Under 1.5, Riga Under 3.5