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Serie D - Girone E · Group E - 8
Grassina
1 - 0Full time
Progresso

Grassina vs Progresso Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home Win
Odds–
45%
Confidence · Fair
GrassinaDrawProgresso
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS
Yes
59%
Correct score
2-1
8%
HT/FT
1/1
28%
Double chance
1X
90%
Avg goals
3.0
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Winner : Grassina.
  • Recent form: Grassina DLDLD, Progresso LLLLL (oldest to newest).
  • Grassina score 1.0 a game this season; Progresso score 0.6.

Match preview

Grassina host Progresso in the Serie D - Girone E (Group E - 8) on Sunday, 18 October 2026.

This season Grassina score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals a game; Progresso score 0.5 and concede 2.1.

Our model leans towards Home Win with 45% confidence.

Quick answers

Who will win Grassina vs Progresso?

Our model gives Grassina 45%, the draw 45% and Progresso 10%. Our tip is Home Win (45% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 59% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 57% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Grassina 2 - 1 Progresso. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 90% confidence.

When is Grassina vs Progresso?

Kick-off is Sunday, 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Key stats

Per game, this season
GrassinaProgresso
Goals scored
1.00.5
Goals conceded
1.82.1
Clean sheets
25%0%

Model comparison

Percent
GrassinaProgresso
Form
100%0%
Attack
88%13%
Defence
54%46%
Poisson model
65%35%
Overall
69%31%
Form, last 5 games
20%0%
Goals scored, last 5
7.01.0
Goals conceded, last 5
11.013.0
Goal forecast: Grassina Under 3.5, Progresso Under 1.5