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CONMEBOL Libertadores · Semi-finals
Fluminense
1 - 2Full time
Palmeiras
Estádio do Maracanã · Referee: Facundo Tello

Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Home or Away (12)
Odds1.36
68%
Confidence · Good
FluminenseDrawPalmeiras
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS
No
56%
Correct score
1-1
12%
HT/FT
X/X
19%
Double chance
12
68%
Avg goals
2.4
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: No predictions available.
  • Recent form: Fluminense WDWWL, Palmeiras WDWWD (oldest to newest).
  • Fluminense score 1.2 a game this season; Palmeiras score 1.6.

Match preview

Fluminense host Palmeiras in the CONMEBOL Libertadores (Semi-finals) on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at Estádio do Maracanã.

This season Fluminense score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals a game; Palmeiras score 1.7 and concede 0.7.

In their last 5 meetings, Fluminense won 2, Palmeiras won 2 and 1 ended level.

Our model leans towards Home or Away (12) with 68% confidence, priced at 1.36.

Quick answers

Who will win Fluminense vs Palmeiras?

Our model gives Fluminense 33%, the draw 32% and Palmeiras 35%. Our tip is Home or Away (12) (68% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 56% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 64% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is Fluminense 1 - 1 Palmeiras. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance 12 (Home or Away (12)) has 68% confidence at odds of 1.36.

When is Fluminense vs Palmeiras?

Kick-off is Thursday, 15 October 2026, 00:30 UTC at Estádio do Maracanã. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 45'José Manuel LópezAssist: Joaquín Piquerez
  2. Matheus Martinelli Lima ⇄ Hércules Pereira do Nascimento45'
  3. 49'Alexander Barboza
  4. Agustín Canobbio ⇄ Kevin Serna63'
  5. 74'Andreas Pereira ⇄ Maurício Magalhães Prado
  6. 74'José Manuel López ⇄ Ramon Sosa
  7. 74'Jhon Arias ⇄ Felipe Anderson
  8. Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima ⇄ Luciano Acosta78'
  9. Hulk ⇄ Rodrigo Castillo78'
  10. Jefferson David Savarino Quintero ⇄ Wesley Natã de Freitas Prado84'
  11. 85'Marlon FreitasAssist: Felipe Anderson
  12. Wesley Natã de Freitas PradoAssist: Claudio Rodrigues Gomes90+3'
  13. 90+6'Agustin Giay
  14. 90+6'Maurício Magalhães Prado
  15. Gustavo Nonato Santana90+6'

Match stats

FluminensePalmeiras
Possession
70%30%
Expected goals (xG)
0.521.19
Shots
117
Shots on target
35
Corners
60
Fouls
915
Offsides
22
Yellow cards
13
Red cards
00
Saves
32
Passes
810353