Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction, Odds & Tips
Home or Draw (1X)Odds1.11
FlamengoDrawEstudiantes L.P.
54%34%12%
Over/Under 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Why we like it
- Model advice: Combo Double chance : Flamengo or draw and -3.5 goals.
- Recent form: Flamengo DWWDD, Estudiantes L.P. DWDWD (oldest to newest).
- Flamengo score 1.7 a game this season; Estudiantes L.P. score 1.1.
Match preview
Flamengo host Estudiantes L.P. in the CONMEBOL Libertadores (Semi-finals) on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Estádio do Maracanã.
This season Flamengo score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals a game; Estudiantes L.P. score 1.2 and concede 0.8.
In their last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 2, Estudiantes L.P. won 1 and 2 ended level.
Our model leans towards Home or Draw (1X) with 88% confidence, priced at 1.11.
Quick answers
Who will win Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our model gives Flamengo 54%, the draw 34% and Estudiantes L.P. 12%. Our tip is Home or Draw (1X) (88% confidence).
Will both teams score?
Our BTTS pick is no, at least one side fails to score (NG), with 63% confidence.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
We expect under 2.5 goals (two or fewer), 57% confidence.
What is the predicted correct score?
Our most likely score is Flamengo 1 - 0 Estudiantes L.P.. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.
What is the safest bet?
Double chance 1X (Home or Draw (1X)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.11.
When is Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Kick-off is Friday, 23 October 2026, 00:30 UTC at Estádio do Maracanã. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.
Match events
- 35'Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez
- 38'Joaquín Correa ⇄ Tiago Palacios⇄
- 49'Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
- 50'Baltasar Gallego Rodriguez
- 54'Santiago Núñez
- 64'Lucas Piovi
- ⇄Jorge Carrascal ⇄ Giorgian de Arrascaeta64'
- 65'Alexander Medina
- 77'Marcos Rojo ⇄ Tiago Tomas Palacios⇄
- 77'Joaquín Tobio Burgos ⇄ Edwuin Cetre⇄
- 77'Guido Carrillo ⇄ Adolfo Gaich⇄
- ⇄Erick Pulgar ⇄ Bruno Henrique82'
- ⇄Samuel Lino ⇄ Gonzalo Plata82'
- ⇄Alex Sandro ⇄ Ayrton Lucas82'
- ⇄Pedro ⇄ Joaquín Freitas88'
- 90'Alexis Castro ⇄ José Sosa⇄
- ●Giorgian de ArrascaetaPenalty91'
- 92'José SosaPenalty●
- ✕Jorginho93'
- 95'Edwuin Cetre✕
- ✕Lucas Paquetá95'
- 97'Eros Nazareno MancusoPenalty●
- ●Léo PereiraPenalty97'
- 98'Tiago PalaciosPenalty●
- ✕Bruno Henrique99'
Match stats
FlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
Expected goals (xG)
1.150.81
Key stats
Per game, this seasonFlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
Model comparison
PercentFlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
Goals scored, last 5
6.06.0
Goals conceded, last 5
3.02.0
Goal forecast: Flamengo Under 2.5, Estudiantes L.P. Under 1.5Model verdict: Win or draw
Flamengo · last 2
1W 1D 0L18 OctABahia0-3W
16 OctAEstudiantes L.P.0-0D
Estudiantes L.P. · last 2
0W 1D 1L18 OctHSan Lorenzo1-2L
16 OctHFlamengo0-0D
Head to head
Last 5Oct 2026Estudiantes L.P.0-0Flamengo
May 2026Flamengo1-0Estudiantes L.P.
Apr 2026Estudiantes L.P.1-1Flamengo
Sept 2025Estudiantes L.P.1-0Flamengo
Sept 2025Flamengo2-1Estudiantes L.P.
Best available odds
DecimalHT/FT
1/X17.00
1/241.00
X/215.00
X/X5.50
1/12.10
X/14.00
2/126.00
2/X21.00
2/215.00
Correct score
1-05.00
2-06.00
0-08.00
1-18.00
2-19.00
3-010.00
0-113.00
3-115.00
4-021.00
1-221.00
2-226.00
4-129.00
Highlighted = our pick. Odds change; check with the bookmaker before betting.
CONMEBOL Libertadores table
Confirmed line-ups
ConfirmedFlamengo 4-2-3-1
1A. Rossi
22Emerson Royal
3Léo Ortiz
4Léo Pereira
26Alex Sandro
5E. Pulgar
21Jorginho
15J. Carrascal
11Lucas Paquetá
16Samuel Lino
9Pedro
Estudiantes L.P. 4-2-3-1
16F. Muslera
40E. Mancuso
4S. Núñez
5M. Rojo
14L. González
21Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
22A. Castro
31B. Gallego
32J. Correa
17J. Burgos
9G. Carrillo
