Skip to content
Register
Super League · Regular Season - 11
FC Thun
2 - 3Full time
FC Lugano
Cornaredo

FC Thun vs FC Lugano Prediction, Odds & Tips

Our Prediction

Away Win
Odds1.75
52%
Confidence · Fair
FC ThunDrawFC Lugano
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
Yes
66%
Correct score
1-1
8%
HT/FT
2/2
30%
Double chance
X2
88%
Avg goals
4.1
Expected
Why we like it
  • Model advice: Combo Winner : FC Lugano and +1.5 goals.
  • Recent form: FC Thun LLLWL, FC Lugano WDWWW (oldest to newest).
  • FC Thun score 1.7 a game this season; FC Lugano score 3.1.

Match preview

FC Thun host FC Lugano in the Super League (Regular Season - 11) on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Cornaredo.

FC Thun come into the game with a form of LDL (newest first; 0 wins in their last 3), while FC Lugano have WWW (newest first; 3 wins in their last 3).

This season FC Thun score 1.7 and concede 2.7 goals a game; FC Lugano score 3.1 and concede 0.7.

In their last 5 meetings, FC Thun won 1, FC Lugano won 4 and 0 ended level.

Our model leans towards Away Win with 52% confidence, priced at 1.75.

Quick answers

Who will win FC Thun vs FC Lugano?

Our model gives FC Thun 12%, the draw 36% and FC Lugano 52%. Our tip is Away Win (52% confidence).

Will both teams score?

Our BTTS pick is yes, both teams to score (GG), with 66% confidence.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

We expect over 2.5 goals (three or more), 70% confidence.

What is the predicted correct score?

Our most likely score is FC Thun 1 - 1 FC Lugano. Correct-score picks are long shots, so treat it as a guide.

What is the safest bet?

Double chance X2 (Draw or Away (X2)) has 88% confidence at odds of 1.22.

When is FC Thun vs FC Lugano?

Kick-off is Sunday, 25 October 2026, 13:00 UTC at Cornaredo. The time on this page is shown in your own time zone.

Match events

  1. 34'Dereck MoncadaAssist: Hannes Delcroix
  2. 34'Dereck MoncadaGoal confirmed
  3. Nassim Zoukit37'
  4. 38'Elias Pihlstrom
  5. 44'Damian Kelvin
  6. Louis Immanuel Passavant ⇄ Mattias Käit45'
  7. 45'Damian Kelvin ⇄ Daniel Dos Santos Correia
  8. 45'Elias Pihlstrom ⇄ Mattia Zanotti
  9. 49'Uran BislimiAssist: Daniel Dos Santos Correia
  10. Nico Maier52'
  11. 60'Dereck Moncada ⇄ Martim Marques
  12. Furkan Dursun ⇄ Noah Christoffersson65'
  13. 73'Kevin Behrens ⇄ Albian Ajeti
  14. Nico Maier ⇄ Patrik Kristal74'
  15. 76'Albian AjetiAssist: Lars Lukas Mai
  16. Brighton Labeau ⇄ Riccardo Braschi81'
  17. Nils·Reichmuth ⇄ A. Ilic81'
  18. 84'Uran Bislimi ⇄ Ahmed Kendouci
  19. Fabio Fehr85'
  20. Riccardo BraschiPenalty88'

Match stats

FC ThunFC Lugano
Possession
52%48%
Expected goals (xG)
1.901.76
Shots
1719
Shots on target
96
Corners
62
Fouls
1515
Offsides
63
Yellow cards
22
Red cards
00
Saves
37
Passes
395375